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Who killed Erin McMenamin?

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(Red herring-ed up the waters?)

Detective Sergeant Mare Sheehan (Kate Winslet): 10,000 to 1Look, obviously Mare didnt do it.

(Its not Mare, though.)

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It seemshighlyunlikely shes involved.

Its probably not Mares friend Beth, who seems extremely nice.

And its definitely not the blood-phobic rookie Officer Trammel, unless hes faking his squeamishness extremely well.

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Ditto her fellow bandmate Geoff.

But what do we really know about DJ Anne?

Could it be her?

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She could be motivated by … well, nothing weve seen.

It seems pretty safe to scratch her off the list.

Thats not to say hesincapableof murderer; he does venture to kill Dylan, after all.

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Hes just not very good at it.

Dylan Hunchey (Jack Mulhern): 200 to 1

Dylan, of course, had it coming.

He both was cruel to Erin before her death and let Brianna have at her in the woods.

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But still: Eff that guy.

On the opposite end of the being-mean-to-Erin spectrum, Jess seems equally unlikely.

Hes not the father of her child, but he was less than forthcoming about their relationship.

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And what doe Faye know?

We never really get her thoughts on this revelation beyond a few hard-to-parse reaction shots.

Maybe Mares irrational hatred of herisntirrational, just the result of good instincts.

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(Still, that catfishing did take some planning, even if it failed miserably.)

Carrie similarly seems like a victim of substance abuse rather than a murderer.

But whatever awfulness she has in her, Carrie doesnt seem like the murdering jot down.

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Hes still out there, maybe serving as misdirection, maybe waiting to resurface.

But how complicit has he been in the cover-up of the accusations against Deacon Mark?

Hes pretty concerned when he learns the allegations might come to light.

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Someone We Havent Met (?

): (30 to 1)IsMare of Easttownplaying fair as a mystery?

(Or, alternately, revealing it was someone like the duck-pate-serving cater-waiter we met briefly.

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Cant rule him out.

Cant rule anyone out.)

On the other hand: Does it?

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Does anyone weve met before match that description?

Hes smart and sweet and nice to his mom … oh no!

Hes probably hiding some dark secret, isnt he?

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Still, the evidence against him isprettydamning.

ByMurder, She Wroterules, all of the above makes him the most likely suspect.

But isMare of Easttownplaying byMurder, She Wroterules?

By this time next week the odds might have shifted dramatically.

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