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IATSE stands for International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees.

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How did it come to this?

Thats a complicated question.

(Scarlett Johanssonwould agree!)

On September 20, Loebs warning came to fruition.

AMPTP now understands exactly whats at risk if it cant broker a deal.

The threat has become real.

Whats the reaction from the industry?

Okay, that sounds bad.

But whats going to happen?

Are they really going to strike?

The ball is in their court.

Varietyreportsthat as of Thursday, October 7, AMPTP conceded to some of IATSEs demands concerning shorter production hours.

However, an agent of IATSE Local 487 told members a contract is still a ways off.

However, the current pace of bargaining doesnt reflect any sense of urgency.

Without an end date, we could keep talking forever.

The 2021 IATSE strike was averted by a deal announced on Saturday, October 16.

Employees were fighting to make wider changes to the conditions on set, described as unsustainable.

Work will continue in the weeks it takes to write up the contract and plan a ratification vote.

This leaves 74 hour work weeks.

The contract is for a 74 hour work week.

Why would we want that?

In their Electoral Collegestyle system, delegates participate in a winner-takes-all vote.

Should they vote no on the ratification, union leadership would be back to the table with AMPTP.

And their 98 percent strike approval still stands.

What happens if they do strike?

This is the most interesting scenario, by far.

(Remember Conan spinning his ring?

But that was limited to the writers room back then.

Striking workers would include almost everyone who works on a film set,reports Brenden Gallagher atJacobin.

[The labor stoppage] would be one of the largest in Hollywood history.

And with so many different crafts walking out, it would also be the most disruptive.

Film and television in the United States would grind to a halt.

Its honestly hard to get ones head around the scope of a potential lockout.

But nobody knows exactly what to expect.

Will a fresh set of ambiguous release-date delays sweep through the nation?

Will Jimmy Fallon be hostingThe Tonight Showin his bedroom again?

Or IATSEs members will receive what they deserve, and everyone can eschew all this nasty business entirely.